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A decision on the future of Chaitén next month (maybe) 15 October 2008

Posted by volcanism in Chaitén, Chile, eruptions, natural hazards.
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Chaitén in June 2008. Image courtesy Werner Keller, POVI. Copyright Christian Brown, El Mercurio.

Five months after the eruption of the volcano that devastated their community, the former residents of Chaitén are still no clearer on what the future will be for their town, or for themselves. A report in La Tercera for 13 October 2008 suggests that the government may soon be reaching a decision on the future of Chaitén, but then again, maybe not. Presidential Delegate Paula Narváez is responsible for this latest round of governmental vagueness:

The presidential delegate for the province of Palena, Paula Narváez, stated that by mid or late November, or no later than the end of the year, she hopes to be able to deliver an official announcement to the displaced persons among the inhabitants of Puerto Montt and Chiloé, establishing definitively what will happen with Chaitén and its reconstruction.

Narváez herself has previously said that the town of Chaitén is ‘uninhabitable’, a position that has been echoed by other central government figures. Local politicians have another view: Intendente Sergio Galilea has declared ‘we will rebuild Chaitén’ and Alcalde José Miguel Fritis has asserted the desire of Chaiteninos to ’restore the town in the same location’. These mixed messages have produced a prolonged period of indecision and compromise, and the people of Chaitén have been the losers.

Will a definitive announcement be made by that rigid deadline of ‘mid or late November, or no later than the end of the year’? Watch this space …

For all our Chaitén coverage: Chaitén « The Volcanism Blog.

News
Delegada presidencial espera que en noviembre exista una ‘definición’ sobre ChaiténLa Tercera, 13 October 2008 (Spanish)

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Chaitén – summary information for Chaitén (1508-41)
ONEMI, Oficina Nacional de Emergencia – Chilean government emergencies office (Spanish)
SERNAGEOMIN – Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (Spanish)
Erupción del Volcán Chaitén – extensive coverage of the Chaitén eruption

The Volcanism Blog

Hawaii Special Committee on Vog Effects report published 14 October 2008

Posted by volcanism in Hawaii, Kilauea, United States, natural hazards.
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The Hawaii House of Representatives Special Committee on Vog Effects, appointed in May, has just published its report, which lists 48 recommendations for coping with Kilauea’s volcanic smog and its unpleasant and unhealthy effects. The report is mercifully brief for a governmental document at 20 pages, and can be accessed in neatly typewritten form from the Hawaii Capitol website (click here for a direct link to PDF).

Among the more notable recommendations:

  • A single point of contact for members of the public who need information and advice about vog.
  • The development of ‘a more coordinated and efficient system for collecting health data’: at the moment health data are collected by a range of organizations and individuals, making it difficult to assess the whole picture when it comes to vog-related health issues.
  • The examination of ‘the psychological impact of vog on school children’ and the development of ‘counseling strategies’. Previous generations had to cope with the problems and crises they encountered without the benefit of counseling strategies: heaven knows how they managed.
  • Fitting hospitals with air filtration devices and sealed environments to protect patients from the effects of vog.
  • Initiatives to monitor and protect the safety of public water supplies, and to ensure the public is well-informed about vog and water safety issues.
  • The provision of air conditioning and air filtration devices to schools (which is great, assuming the gear can be plugged in).
  • The offering of tax relief to farmers who have suffered from the effects of vog.
  • Improvement of monitoring and early warning systems across Hawaii.

The eruption at Halema’uma’u vent shows no sign of declining, and continues to pump out huge quantities of sulphur dioxide. Hawaii’s vog problem is not going to go away.

For more on vog: Hawaiian Volcano Observatory: sulfur dioxide, vog and volcanic ash FAQ.

For all our Kilauea coverage: Kilauea « The Volcanism Blog.

News
Report on vog offers some tips on copingHonolulu Advertiser, 13 October 2008
Vog report seeks solutions – KPUA Hawaii News, 13 October 2008

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Kilauea – summary information for Kilauea (1302-01-)
USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory – main page for the HVO
HVO Kilauea Status Page – the latest activity reports for Kilauea

The Volcanism Blog

The challenge of volcano monitoring in Chile 9 October 2008

Posted by volcanism in Chaitén, Chile, natural hazards, volcano monitoring.
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‘Volcanismo en Chile y Red Nacional de Vigilancia Volcánica’ was the title of a seminar held on 7 October 2008 La Moneda Palace, Santiago, which brought together leading figures from Chilean geology, volcanology, emergency planning and government to discuss improving the state of volcano monitoring in Chile (an issue we have considered in some detail on this blog).

A report on the seminar (in Spanish) can be found on the SERNAGEOMIN website. The seminar was opened by the Minister of Mining, Santiago González, and included presentations by Carmen Fernandez and Rodrigo Rojas of the state emergencies office ONEMI, Renate Wall and Luis Lara of SERNAGEOMIN, and John Ewert of the USGS Volcano Hazards Program.

Any national volcanic monitoring network in Chile will be developed under the auspices of the state geological service SERNAGEOMIN. The National Director of SERNAGEOMIN, Alejandro Vio Grossi, spoke of his Service assuming ’with responsibility and commitment, the challenge of implementing a program which will allow us to cope in a better way with the complex situations produced by the volcanic characteristics of our land’. He went on to outline the two aspects of SERNAGEOMIN’s work upon which an improved national monitoring network would be built: geological research and volcanic monitoring.

In this respect, this Service faces its responsibility from two complementary angles. First, through the Volcanic Risks Program, understanding through geological studies the eruptive history of volcanoes and the principal processes that have controlled their evolution … Second, playing an important work in the instrumental monitoring of some active and dangerous volcanoes. This function is carried out from the Observatorio Volcanológico de los Andes del Sur (OVDAS).

It is to be hoped that SERNAGEOMIN will receive the resources it needs to lead the development of the national volcano monitoring and warning network that Chile requires.

For all our Chaitén coverage: Chaitén « The Volcanism Blog.

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Chaitén – summary information for Chaitén (1508-41)
ONEMI, Oficina Nacional de Emergencia – Chilean government emergencies office (Spanish)
SERNAGEOMIN – Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (Spanish)
Erupción del Volcán Chaitén – extensive coverage of the Chaitén eruption

The Volcanism Blog

Tonga boulders may be evidence of volcanic tsunami 25 September 2008

Posted by volcanism in Pacific, current research, geoscience, natural hazards, submarine volcanism.
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Seven huge coral boulders standing on the western shore of Tonga’s main island Tongatapu may be evidence of a tsunami produced by a volcanic eruption, according to University of Texas researchers. The boulders, which are up to 9 metres high and weigh up to 1600 tonnes, are made of coral similar to that which makes up the offshore reefs of Tongatapu; their coral was formed about 122,000 years ago. They were clearly not formed in their present location and could not, on largely flat Tongatapu, have rolled downhill from somewhere else. The conclusion is that they were torn from the reef and hurled inland by a tsunami generated by a submarine eruption, probably from one of the volcanic centres in the northern section of the nearby Tonga-Kermadec Arc.

‘These could be the largest boulders displaced by a tsunami, worldwide’, says Matthew Hornbach of the University of Texas Institute for Geophysics. ‘We think studying erratic boulders is one way of getting better statistics on mega-tsunamis. There are a lot of places that have similar underwater volcanoes and people haven’t paid much attention to the threat’.

UPDATE: Dr Erik Klemetti at Eruptions takes a cautious look at the Tonga boulders: ‘it will be interesting to see what evidence they have for the deposit being from a volcanically-triggered event’.

UPDATE: National Geographic News has published an article on the Tonga boulders, which has been added to the list of links below.

[Found via Geology News.]

News
World’s largest tsunami debris discovered – ScienceDaily, 25 September 2008
Boulders on Tonga may have been dumped by tsunami – Reuters, 25 September 2008
Tongan coral may hold key to ancient tsunami – Radio Australia, 25 September 2008
Boulders in Tonga evidence of largest tsunami debris found – Geology News, 24 September 2008
The big boulders of Tonga – Eruptions, 25 September 2008
Ancient tsunami carried giant boulders to TongaNational Geographic News, 30 September 2008

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Tonga Islands – volcanoes of Tonga and vicinity
New Zealand American Submarine Ring of Fire 2005 – studying submarine volcanism in the Tonga-Kermadec Arc
Bathymetry of the Tonga Trench and Forearc: a map series – article, with maps, from Marine Geophysical Researches, vol. 21, no. 5 (2000)

The Volcanism Blog

Hawaii officials ponder the vog problem 24 September 2008

Posted by volcanism in Hawaii, Kilauea, United States, natural hazards.
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Kilauea volcano continues to pump out high levels of sulphur dioxide in its emissions, which contributes to high levels of volcanic air pollution. When the wind is in the wrong direction, large parts of Hawaii Island are choked in the nasty, acidic haze, which can cause significant health problems.

Back in May the Speaker of the Hawaii House of Representatives appointed a Special Committee to investigate vog effects. The Committee held its final meeting last week, which was addressed by health, education, civil defence and emergency services representatives. The consensus seems to be that there is very little one can do to get away from vog, but that one can shelter from it. Health officials suggest that residents should create ’safe rooms’ in their homes where they can shelter from the effects of vog, and the Department of Education has announced that ’safe rooms’ with purified air supplies will be set up in all Big Island schools. Some sectors of agriculture have been hit hard by the persistent vog produced by the volcano’s activity since the spring, and among other plans floated has been the suggestion that farmers could be evacuated to areas unaffected by vog. In general, the Committee itself seems to be looking to Washington for assistance in dealing with the vog problem: ‘We really need to reach out to FEMA and Congress for some help on this issue’, says Committee Chair Robert Herkes.

For more on vog: Hawaiian Volcano Observatory: sulfur dioxide, vog and volcanic ash FAQ.

For all our Kilauea coverage: Kilauea « The Volcanism Blog.

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Kilauea – summary information for Kilauea (1302-01-)
USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory – main page for the HVO
HVO Kilauea Status Page – the latest activity reports for Kilauea

The Volcanism Blog

The ups and downs of Vesuvius 17 September 2008

Posted by volcanism in Italy, Vesuvius, current research, geoscience, natural hazards.
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Naples and Vesuvius, August 2003

A new study of Vesuvius suggests that the magma source involved in the eruptions of the last 20,000 years or so has been rising within the volcano, so that the more recent the eruption, the shallower the depth from which its magmas have come. Does this mean, looking to the future, that Vesuvius is more or less dangerous than we thought? Well, that depends…

The research in question was done by a Franco-Italian team of scientists and the results have been published as a letter in the 11 September 2008 issue of Nature under the title ‘Upward migration of Vesuvius magma chamber over the past 20,000 years’ (link is to abstract only). Analysis of samples of material from four of Vesuvius’s main explosive events between 5800BC and 472AD indicates that the pressure to which magmas have been subjected before each event has progressively reduced with each successive eruption: the scientists’ conclusion is that the magma chamber has been moving upward within the volcano, from 7-8km to 3-4km depth between 79AD and 472AD. If data from the Pomici di Base event of 18.5kyr ago and the most recent major eruption of 1944 is taken into account, the total upward migration of the magma chamber is around 9-11km.

The significance of this is explained by Dr Erik Klemetti in his crystal-clear discussion of this research at Eruptions: magma at shallower depths is subject to lower pressure, which means less chance of the explosive degassing that produces violent eruptions. However, he goes on to point out that this research, focused as it is on this ascending and recently tapped magma source, has nothing to say about future eruptions that might be rooted deeper in the system, produced by the influx of fresh magma at depth.

The authors of the Nature study, as is the way of such things, conclude very circumspectly by saying that the apparent upward migration of the magma chamber needs to be incorporated into the predictive models used to forecast the future behaviour of the volcano, and that more research is needed. They don’t make any predictions about the future. Reporters writing up their research are not so coy, so we have stories apparently using the same facts to draw diametrically opposed conclusions: ‘Mount Vesuvius’ destructive power may be diminishing’, ‘Vesuvius magma chamber rising; may mean milder eruption’, and ‘Mount Vesuvius may be less dangerous than predicted’ on the one hand, and ‘Pompeii-style eruption of Vesuvius can’t be ruled out’, ‘Vesuvius still an eruption risk’, on the other. How apocalyptic are you feeling at the moment? Take your pick accordingly.

  • B. Scaillet, M. Pichavant & R. Cioni, ‘Upward migration of Vesuvius magma chamber over the past 20,000 years’, Nature, no. 455 (11 September 2008). Link to abstract.

Image: Naples and Vesuvius, August 2003 (source).

News
Vesuvius magma chamber rising; may mean milder eruptionNational Geographic, 10 September 2008
Mount Vesuvius may be less dangerous than predictedScientific American, 10 September 2008
Pompeii-style eruption of Vesuvius can’t be ruled out – AFP, 11 September 2008
Mount Vesuvius’ destructive power may be diminishingDiscover Magazine, 11 September 2008
Vesuvius still an eruption risk – ABC Science, 11 September 2008

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Vesuvius – summary information for Vesuvius (0101-02=)
Vesuvius Observatory – home page in English

The Volcanism Blog

Sulphur dioxide far and wide 14 August 2008

Posted by volcanism in Alaska, Kasatochi, United States, eruptions, natural hazards.
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Kasatochi eruption 12 August 2008 (NASA image)

The NASA Earth Observatory has published a rather striking image today showing the spread of the sulphur dioxide cloud released by Kasatochi since it began erupting on 8 August. The image, captured by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument on NASA’s Aura satellite on 12 August, shows the gas looping counter-clockwise across the Pacific Ocean and spreading across Canada and the United States.

The image as shown above has been cropped slightly to fit in here at The Volcanism Blog. To see the original image with an extended explanatory caption, click here. Take some time to explore the NASA Earth Observatory: it is a wonderful resource, for volcanoes and much more.

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Kasatochi – summary information for Kasatochi (1101-13-)
Alaska Volcano Observatory - AVO page on the Kasatochi eruption

The Volcanism Blog

Yemen to establish volcano monitoring network 31 July 2008

Posted by volcanism in Jebel at Tair, Red Sea, Yemen, natural hazards, volcano monitoring.
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A volcano on the Yemeni island of Jabal at-Tair erupts in the early morning hours of Oct. 1, 2007 (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Vincent J. Street)

The Yemeni news agency SABA reports today that Yemen is to set up its first volcano monitoring network. The network will monitor volcanic conditions in Yemen and neighbouring states, and will be established under the auspices of the National Seismological Observatory Centre (NSOC).

The Global Volcanism Program currently lists 14 Holocene volcanoes in Yemen, including four volcanic islands in the Red Sea. Yemen’s most recent volcanic activity was at the volcanic island of Jebel at Tair, where an eruption on 30 September 2007 destroyed a military base and caused some fatalities. NATO warships and the Yemeni Coast Guard carried out search and rescue operations. The activity continued into December 2007.

Image: Jebel at Tair erupting in the early hours of 1 October 2007 (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Vincent J. Street) [Source].

News
Yemen to set up first volcano monitoring network – Saba Net, 31 July 2008

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Arabia – GVP’s Holocene volcanoes database for Arabia (covers Yemeni mainland volcanoes)
Global Volcanism Program: Africa and the Red Sea – GVP’s Holocene volcanoes database for Africa and the Red Sea (covers Yemeni Red Sea volcanoes)
National Seismological Observatory Centre, Yemen – English-language page for Yemen’s seismological monitoring centre

The Volcanism Blog

Government seeks power to force out Chaitén diehards 29 July 2008

Posted by volcanism in Chaitén, Chile, eruptions, natural hazards.
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ONEMI reported late yesterday that the Intendencia Regional of Los Lagos – i.e. the regional government executive – is seeking powers from the courts to remove the last few inhabitants of Chaitén town who are refusing to leave. The number of people involved is given by ONEMI as seven; La Segunda and Radio Cooperativa both report that the number is five, a married couple and their son and two neighbours (and name those concerned) – but last Friday the latter source said that the number was six, until five of them decided to evacuate after all, leaving only one person who was ‘in a state of inebriation’.

UPDATE: This afternoon the Corte de Apelaciones confirmed the Intendencia Regional in the power it was seeking. The effect is that from now on, no-one will be permitted to stay in Chaitén overnight (source: El Mercurio).

For all our Chaitén coverage: Chaitén « The Volcanism Blog

The Volcanism Blog

Volcano monitoring in Chile: the lessons of Chaitén 26 July 2008

Posted by volcanism in Chaitén, Chile, natural hazards, volcano monitoring.
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Yesterday Chaitén completed its twelfth week of continuous eruption. Its current behaviour is enigmatic, presenting one character below the surface (significant seismic activity) and one character above (subdued eruptive activity) but it is clear that it is far from finished. Since it began erupting on 2 May it has spread disruption far and wide and landed the Chilean authorities with some very big problems. There has been some criticism of the response of the national and local authorities in Chile to this eruption - in this blog for example – but there has to be some understanding as well.

Chile’s resources are not unlimited, and, sad to say, volcano monitoring has simply not been a political priority (although even had there been a much more extensive system of monitoring, Chaitén, silent for 10,000 years, would still have come as a surprise). SERNAGEOMIN was never intended to serve primarily as a hazard mitigation and public protection agency. Since its creation in 1980 its primary job has been essentially economic: facilitating the commercial exploitation of Chile’s mineral resources. Volcano monitoring developed as an add-on, not as a central responsibility.

This is why the volcanologists at SERNAGEOMIN have struggled for decades to do their jobs with limited budgets and restricted resources. They are dedicated people and have achieved remarkable results, but one volcanological observatory and a handful of monitored volcanoes is far below the necessary minimum for Chile. This is also a large part of the reason why public communication about volcanic risks, and reporting of ongoing eruptions, is so poor in Chile: a political and bureaucratic culture in which information is something one keeps to oneself is partly to blame, but it is also a fact that the staff and resources are not there to do the job properly.

The fragmentation of responsibility among Chile’s tangle of government agencies is also an obstacle to effective public communication. SERNAGEOMIN is merely one of the elements in the Chilean governmental acronym soup: ONEMI, MINVU, INDAP, MOP are just some of the other national state bodies involved at Chaitén. Throw in the regional and provincial governments, along with a grandstanding politician or two, with everyone saying different (and sometimes contradictory) things, and the result is confusion. To give one example, does anyone, within the Chilean Government or outside, actually know whether SERNAGEOMIN or ONEMI is the lead agency in dealing with volcanic emergencies? The division of responsibility should be clear, and the Chilean public, not to mention the outside world, should be able to go to one or the other and get all the information they need. That isn’t happening.

One of the results of the Chaitén eruption is that things seem to be changing. The Chilean Senate has approved a proposal that would make volcano monitoring and hazard mitigation a political and technical priority for the Government of Chile; a five-year plan to significantly upgrade the monitoring of volcanoes in Chile, which would see the number of volcanoes monitored increase from 7 to 43, has been announced by SERNAGEOMIN; and the USGS is working with Chile on improved volcano monitoring and warning systems. And, not least, private individuals and groups on the ground in Chile and elsewhere – the very people who have to live with volcanic hazards day to day – are using the World Wide Web to make up for the lack of official information by creating their own volcano monitoring, news and information sites. The fullest information about Chaitén, for example, can be found at Werner Luis’s pages on the eruption, while if you want to know about Llaima you’ll find far more information and up-to-date coverage via the private POVI initiative than you will through any official source.

The Chaitén eruption has provided motivation for a change in Chile’s official attitude to its volcanoes and the risks they pose. It is to be hoped that the momentum will not be lost once Chaitén quietens down again (whenever that may be).

For all our Chaitén coverage: Chaitén « The Volcanism Blog

Information
Global Volcanism Program: Chaitén – summary information for Chaitén (1508-41)
ONEMI, Oficina Nacional de Emergencia – Chilean government emergencies office (Spanish)
SERNAGEOMIN – Servicio Nacional de Geología y Minería (Spanish)

The Volcanism Blog